Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 0.045823 0.054040 0.063241 0.074297 0.087216 0.101826 0.119597
2025-06-29 0.031940 0.042176 0.054922 0.071924 0.093977 0.121579 0.158722
2025-07-06 0.023889 0.034456 0.048750 0.069421 0.098475 0.137771 0.194872
2025-07-13 0.019790 0.030700 0.046495 0.070901 0.107522 0.160267 0.241815
2025-07-20 0.016603 0.027448 0.044104 0.071361 0.114639 0.180432 0.287718
2025-07-27 0.014213 0.024877 0.042148 0.071897 0.121566 0.200784 0.336184
2025-08-03 0.012436 0.022934 0.040776 0.072978 0.129250 0.222970 0.390100
2025-08-10 0.011192 0.021658 0.040255 0.075288 0.139116 0.249710 0.454698
2025-08-17 0.009459 0.019181 0.037216 0.072624 0.139783 0.260650 0.493133
2025-08-24 0.008333 0.017650 0.035644 0.072356 0.144632 0.279358 0.547513
2025-08-31 0.007299 0.016123 0.033832 0.071317 0.147788 0.295179 0.598228
2025-09-07 0.006684 0.015353 0.033388 0.072895 0.156197 0.321808 0.672711
2025-09-14 0.005895 0.014099 0.031804 0.071972 0.159575 0.339323 0.732004
2025-09-21 0.005137 0.012785 0.029901 0.070099 0.160723 0.352518 0.784250
2025-09-28 0.004454 0.011524 0.027919 0.067743 0.160466 0.362688 0.831284
2025-10-05 0.004116 0.011040 0.027633 0.069207 0.168919 0.392465 0.924431
2025-10-12 0.003754 0.010434 0.026964 0.069660 0.175080 0.417876 1.010824
2025-10-19 0.003438 0.009890 0.026362 0.070184 0.181461 0.444494 1.103110
2025-10-26 0.003183 0.009465 0.025996 0.071240 0.189271 0.475313 1.208895
2025-11-02 0.003007 0.009232 0.026090 0.073497 0.200385 0.515268 1.341368
2025-11-09 0.002643 0.008393 0.024446 0.070894 0.198628 0.523601 1.396752
2025-11-16 0.002413 0.007909 0.023699 0.070632 0.203016 0.547777 1.495007
2025-11-23 0.002180 0.007376 0.022734 0.069618 0.205225 0.566621 1.581676